#41b) Technical Setup: Trading a Macro Narrative in Stage 3.
Here you’ll find:
The reaction to the earnings announcements of Google, Amazon, and NVIDIA.
The similarities and differences between them.
The charts that, from a technical perspective, indicate the sector is very close to a correction.
#40b)SETUPS: Trading in a Risk-off Environment.
Here you will find:
1. A brief description of the Pension Fund’s way of thinking.
2. Mainly a trade originated in the Intermarket Analysis.
3. The process of choosing a vehicle
4. Complete technical setup for NVIDIA shorting.
#39 Trading reversion to the mean.
Here you’ll find a complete technical setup: volume, trend, momentum, and mean reversion. Entry and exit zones are clearly defined. This aligns with or is a consequence of the macroeconomic analysis presented in the previous article.
# 37 Complete Technical Setup: Looking for weaknesses.
Here you’ll find a complete technical setup: volume, trend, momentum, and mean reversion. Entry and exit zones are clearly defined. This aligns with or is a consequence of the macroeconomic analysis presented in the previous article.
#36 Effects on the real economy and generation of incorrect incentives by the lender of last resort.
In this article, we explore how the revelation of the Fed’s reaction function—essentially, “we saved everyone”—not only presents a moral hazard but also creates incentives for greater risk-taking, particularly by small banks. An industry that is, in fact, overcrowded.
#35 Setup: Setting up a strategy and macro narratives.
This is a complete technical setup to trade the DAX on the short side. It includes liquidity, long-, mid-, and short-term trends, momentum, mean reversion, and alternative vehicles to execute this macro view.
#33 Technical Setup for shorting Tecs
This chart caught our attention due to the divergence we observed in volume. It aligns with our macro view, and we have chosen it as the vehicle for an aggressively defensive trade, targeting what we believe to be a point of weakness: the S&P 500.
#31 Trading sectors in a bubble environment
In this article, you’ll find:
The relationship between momentum and mean reversion.
The importance of tracking momentum at extreme or overextended price levels.
Relative ratios between sectors.
Where we see opportunities and where we don’t.
A general view for portfolio positioning today.
#29- B Trading the 10 year real rate.
Here you will find: The complete technical analysis that frames a setup. The setup that derives from a micro, macro, and intermarket analysis we discussed here.
#28-C Point and Figure Basics: Charting Objectives Explained
In this article, you’ll find a detailed description of the Point and Figure charting method. Its primary function (trend identification across different time frames), the method for plotting it, its pros and cons, and an example to clarify its use. I hope you enjoy it and find it useful, as it’s a fundamental tool in technical analysi