#29 10-Year Real Rate Trading: A Complete Guide

A line chart showing the divergence between the US 10-year nominal interest rate and the US 10-year real interest rate,

In this article, we break down the components of the 10-year real rate. We understand what has been driving its movements since September up to now. We study the evolution of the term premium and the intermarket repercussions it generates.

#27 Two Year Real Rate Trends and Analysis

Chart showing the decomposition of 2-year real interest rates in the United States, including nominal yield, expected inflation, and term premium components.

We broke down the 2-year real rates to understand their evolution. We used the nominal rates, inflation expectations, and the 2-year term premium. The conclusions are clear.

#24 Exploring the world of Currencies

Chart comparing the evolution of precious metals futures with a commodity index excluding precious metals, showing superior performance of the former.

In this article, we are attempting to infer the state of currencies and the global economy by conducting a sectoral analysis of supply and demand across commodity sectors.

5# Macro View and the American Consumer

Disposable Income vs real Income zoomed

Intermarket Analysis Throught Macro and Technical Methods #5 Macro View: Brief Introduction to Get Everyone on the Same Page Generating a macro view through fundamental analysis. This analysis will guide our trades. Let’s start with the basics. An economy can be summarized by the following identity: GDP=C+I+S+G+(X−M) C = Aggregate Consumption I = Investment S=Savings […]

#1. Intermarket Analysis Essentials for Proficient Traders

Intermarket Analysis Throught Macro and Technical Methods Intermarket Analysis Essentials for Proficient Traders Understanding the Relationship Between Interest Rates and Asset Categories      A simple way to illustrate this is to imagine the flow of global speculative capital as the journey of a train. Unlike real trains, this one has no set departure or […]