Author: Intermarketflow

#29- B Trading the 10 year real rate.

A weekly chart showing a potential price target if a specific condition is met. 10-year real rate.

Here you will find: The complete technical analysis that frames a setup. The setup that derives from a micro, macro, and intermarket analysis we discussed here.

#29 10-Year Real Rate Trading: A Complete Guide

A line chart showing the divergence between the US 10-year nominal interest rate and the US 10-year real interest rate,

In this article, we break down the components of the 10-year real rate. We understand what has been driving its movements since September up to now. We study the evolution of the term premium and the intermarket repercussions it generates.

#28-C Point and Figure Basics: Charting Objectives Explained

Point and Figure chart displaying a one-year daily trend analysis with a red upward trendline and a blue downward arrow indicating a short-term bearish trend.

In this article, you’ll find a detailed description of the Point and Figure charting method. Its primary function (trend identification across different time frames), the method for plotting it, its pros and cons, and an example to clarify its use. I hope you enjoy it and find it useful, as it’s a fundamental tool in technical analysi

#27 Two Year Real Rate Trends and Analysis

Chart showing the decomposition of 2-year real interest rates in the United States, including nominal yield, expected inflation, and term premium components.

We broke down the 2-year real rates to understand their evolution. We used the nominal rates, inflation expectations, and the 2-year term premium. The conclusions are clear.

#25 Trading Real Rates.

Line chart showing the S&P 500 index from 2021 to 2026, highlighting the yield curve inversion in July 2022 and a subsequent decrease in trading volume.

This is an article calculating current real interest rates for developed economies, primarily in Europe. It analyzes the strength of their currencies and major stock indices. A common pattern emerges across all of them: currencies are weak, and there’s a total lack of volume in the latest rally in their indices, making a correction imminent.

#24 Exploring the world of Currencies

Chart comparing the evolution of precious metals futures with a commodity index excluding precious metals, showing superior performance of the former.

In this article, we are attempting to infer the state of currencies and the global economy by conducting a sectoral analysis of supply and demand across commodity sectors.