#57 A deep dive into the current state of the dollar

This article explores the U.S. dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency—its role as a safe haven, as a reserve held by both private investors and central banks, and as the dominant currency in global trade.

This article explores the U.S. dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency—its role as a safe haven, as a reserve held by both private investors and central banks, and as the dominant currency in global trade.

#48 Overshooting, Economic Fluctuations and trading opportunities.

Stock chart breaking into a low volume area labeled "Thin air"

How do you trade in this kind of environment? What we’re seeing now falls under what we know as herd behavior. And contrary to what many believe, this type of behavior follows identifiable patterns—and can be highly profitable. These are the rules of the game now. We know how the opposing team plays—now it’s just […]

#46 Interest rates: The heart of the financial system. 

Line chart showing the 2-year term premium (monthly) over time, with recession periods marked. Stage 4 Macro Narrative

Understanding the directional effects they create is essential for making sense of the markets.  We can think of global capital as a fixed amount of capital—what changes are the stops where it temporarily settles. Nothing in the markets moves in isolation; everything is interconnected through interest rates. Components of an interest rate: ꭆ(n)= ꭇeal ꭇate(n) […]

#43 Frontliner: The Labor Market

Line chart comparing US initial and continuing jobless claims with a yield curve inversion marked. Labor market trends

An economy that cannot resolve its unemployment claims is in an unsustainable situation. Unemployment will end up rising—or worse, rising in the public sector. There are prices out of equilibrium in the American economy that need to adjust to make it sustainable again.

#41a) Observing reality through the prisms of intermarket, technical and macroeconomic analysis.

Line chart showing a gap up in Amazon's stock price after earnings release. Intermarket and Macroeconomic Analysis

Here you’ll find:

The reaction of Amazon, NVIDIA, and Google to their earnings announcements.

Why the results weren’t as expected and the similarity in the price reactions of the 3.

The clearest message from the intermarket: gold in full stage 1 of price action.

Macro analysis of the American real estate sector.

Analysis of the sector’s ecosystem: Prices, Rates, Inventory, and outlook.

Various setups for trading with different technical strategies, in this case, in the tech sector. These are published in the next blog article. #42