#60 Understanding rate-Driving Markets dynamics
U.S. markets are facing high uncertainty. They’ve just gone through the deepest and longest yield curve inversion in history. With valuations stretched and prices at all-time highs, it’s time to open your mind and consider other options.
#59 Macro reading of the S&P 500 and its sub-indices
Each sub-index of the S&P 500 reflects the situation of different types of companies.
When analyzing the S&P 500 from a macro perspective, it’s essential to go beyond the index level and dive into its underlying sectors. Each sub-index reflects different parts of the economy—cyclical, defensive, interest-rate sensitive, etc.—and reading their relative performance helps anticipate where capital is rotating, how macro expectations are evolving, and what stage of the cycle we’re likely in.
#58 Causality between the yield curve and leading indicators.
We covered two different interpretations of the yield curve: the inversion and the first Fed rate cut. We analyzed the last four recessions and measured the lead times to estimate the window until the next recession.
#57 A deep dive into the current state of the dollar
This article explores the U.S. dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency—its role as a safe haven, as a reserve held by both private investors and central banks, and as the dominant currency in global trade.
#56 Global equities—time to open our minds. Trading has become a global game.
U.S. markets are facing high uncertainty. They’ve just gone through the deepest and longest yield curve inversion in history. With valuations stretched and prices at all-time highs, it’s time to open your mind and consider other options.
#49 A volume-based system to trade macro narratives
A deep dive into the different ways volume can be read We’re in a market where macro reports have taken a back seat— daily news is driving prices. It’s a time for weekly and daily trading, and in this context, it’s technical analysis that guides us. We already know we’re in a volatile price environment, […]
#41b) Technical Setup: Trading a Macro Narrative in Stage 3.
Here you’ll find:
The reaction to the earnings announcements of Google, Amazon, and NVIDIA.
The similarities and differences between them.
The charts that, from a technical perspective, indicate the sector is very close to a correction.
#40b)SETUPS: Trading in a Risk-off Environment.
Here you will find:
1. A brief description of the Pension Fund’s way of thinking.
2. Mainly a trade originated in the Intermarket Analysis.
3. The process of choosing a vehicle
4. Complete technical setup for NVIDIA shorting.
#39 Trading reversion to the mean.
Here you’ll find a complete technical setup: volume, trend, momentum, and mean reversion. Entry and exit zones are clearly defined. This aligns with or is a consequence of the macroeconomic analysis presented in the previous article.
# 37 Complete Technical Setup: Looking for weaknesses.
Here you’ll find a complete technical setup: volume, trend, momentum, and mean reversion. Entry and exit zones are clearly defined. This aligns with or is a consequence of the macroeconomic analysis presented in the previous article.