With the full analysis of all types of credit and current delinquency levels, we now move on to the microeconomic analysis. We examine the business units of each of the six major banks and the typical structure of smaller ones. Check it out and see who’s exposed!
Completing our analysis of delinquencies and losses across different types of loans, we found that mortgage, CRE, small business, and agricultural loan delinquencies are all surging.
We conducted an in-depth analysis of the banking industry’s consumer loans and found that delinquency and loss rates are huge across all categories — 30, 60, and 90 days. On top of that, the percentage of people paying only the credit card minimum is surging. From there to becoming delinquent
U.S. markets are facing high uncertainty. They’ve just gone through the deepest and longest yield curve inversion in history. With valuations stretched and prices at all-time highs, it’s time to open your mind and consider other options.
The Foundations of Intermarket Analysis
We study the causal relationships between variables—understanding both leading and lagging times, the direction of these causalities, and why they emerge. Over time, these dynamics tend to show up in indicators like PPI and CPI.
Each sub-index of the S&P 500 reflects the situation of different types of companies.
When analyzing the S&P 500 from a macro perspective, it’s essential to go beyond the index level and dive into its underlying sectors. Each sub-index reflects different parts of the economy—cyclical, defensive, interest-rate sensitive, etc.—and
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