We seek to understand the relationship between the new and the existing home market—the different flows and inventories that shape both. We analyze how imbalances in one market affect the other.
The PPI, Commodities and the Dollar are closely linked, shaping several key macro variables. We examine how this interaction impacts yields, particularly the 30-year yield, and inflation expectations.
We analyzed the intermarket capital flows that took place in the week of September 17, following the rate cut. We looked at the effects they generated, where they occurred, and with what volume. We searched and found where the volume moved that week.
The connection between consumption and the market may seem direct. It isn’t quite so since the state has also intervened in this market. Here we explain the market’s causalities. We break down Nonfarm Payroll to show why it fails as a true measure of employment, and finally, we lay out
To analyze which banks are most exposed to consumer credit delinquencies, the most useful approach is to break down their business units and assess the weight of consumer lending within each balance sheet. Here’s a summary bank by bank (based on 10-Ks, Fed H.8 data, and 2023–2024 reports):
We analyze the intermarket moves that took place after the Jackson Hole conference. We seek to identify where capital flowed.
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