We describe how a stagflationary process hits different sectors at different moments. With two charts, we show an economy in stagflation. We also break down the SP500 and the six largest fast-food chains from a purely technical perspective.
Last week we saw that there’s one variable that can truly destabilize markets: uncertainty. Here You can’t touch it or see it—but you can feel it. And even though it’s intangible, the market expresses it in many ways, across different assets. Uncertainty can encompass everything—when the whole system trembles—or focus
The technical methodology for trading pullbacks. Selecting the right sector, beta profile, and company size in line with a macro hypothesis.
Recession and Stagflation require distinct trading methods. The recession methodology is clear; however, Stagflation is far more confusing. Here are our options for trading both stages.
Here you’ll find: How Homebuilder and Real Estate sectors diverged since the yield curve inversion, relative to the S&P 500 Equal Weight The evolution of U.S. housing starts over the same period Market data showing the imbalance between supply, demand, and existing inventory Sector statistics highlighting the companies with the
MBS, or mortgage-backed securities, are the currency banks use to access the Fed’s liquidity window. The Fed takes them at par, automatically providing liquidity while simultaneously boosting the construction market through the creation of new loans.