#50 Macro, the Market, the F.E.D. and the Political Class

Weekly stock chart with oscillators showing positive momentum.

How different macro narratives are shaped through the interaction between these three players  A macro view of the real estate market Affordability is at historic lows. It’s getting harder to buy a home, which suggests inventory may rise even further. Timing and projections for the sector Production forecasts in the housing market already show an […]

#49 A volume-based system to trade macro narratives

Chart of SPXS 3x Bear SP with significant volume increase.

A deep dive into the different ways volume can be read We’re in a market where macro reports have taken a back seat— daily news is driving prices. It’s a time for weekly and daily trading, and in this context, it’s technical analysis that guides us. We already know we’re in a volatile price environment, […]

#48 Overshooting, Economic Fluctuations and trading opportunities.

Stock chart breaking into a low volume area labeled "Thin air"

How do you trade in this kind of environment? What we’re seeing now falls under what we know as herd behavior. And contrary to what many believe, this type of behavior follows identifiable patterns—and can be highly profitable. These are the rules of the game now. We know how the opposing team plays—now it’s just […]

#47 Before we begin—here you´ll find:

Daily Gold Volume Profile chart with key price levels marked.

The State of the American Consumer and Why a Correction Is Imminent. #47 Current expectations of the American consumer—and the trades they’re generating, at a systemic level. We’ve already looked at this from the perspective of real and disposable income—over six months ago here.  Now, let’s examine it through the lens of current consumer expectations. […]